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Bubbles and Crashes with Partially Sophisticated Investors

Bianchi, Milo; Jehiel, Philippe (2010), Bubbles and Crashes with Partially Sophisticated Investors. https://basepub.dauphine.fr/handle/123456789/5361

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bubbles071210.PDF (229.6Kb)
Type
Document de travail / Working paper
Date
2010
Publisher
Université Paris-Dauphine
Series title
PSE Working Papers
Series number
2008-62
Published in
Paris
Pages
35
Metadata
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Author(s)
Bianchi, Milo
Jehiel, Philippe
Abstract (EN)
We analyze bubbles and crashes in a model in which some investors are partially sophisticated. While the expectations of such investors are endogenously determined in equilibrium, these are based on a coarse understanding of the market dynamics. We highlight how such investors may endogenously switch from euphoria to panic and how this may lead to equilibrium bubbles and crashes even in a purely speculative market in which information is complete and it is commonly understood that the bubble cannot grow forever. We also show how this setting can match stylized empirical facts, and we investigate whether bubbles may last longer when the share of fully rational traders increases.
Subjects / Keywords
Speculative bubbles; crashes; bounded rationality
JEL
C72 - Noncooperative Games
G12 - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
D84 - Expectations; Speculations

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