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Discounting and Divergence of Opinion

Napp, Clotilde; Marin, Jean-Michel; Jouini, Elyès (2010), Discounting and Divergence of Opinion, Journal of Economic Theory, 145, 2, p. 830-859. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2010.01.002

Type
Article accepté pour publication ou publié
External document link
http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00176636/fr/
Date
2010
Journal name
Journal of Economic Theory
Volume
145
Number
2
Publisher
Elsevier
Pages
830-859
Publication identifier
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2010.01.002
Metadata
Show full item record
Author(s)
Napp, Clotilde cc
Marin, Jean-Michel cc
Jouini, Elyès
Abstract (EN)
The objective of this paper is to adopt a general equilibrium model and determine the socially efficient discount factor and discount rate when there are heterogeneous anticipations about the future of the economy as well as heterogeneous time preference rates. Among others we tackle the following questions. Is the socially efficient discount factor an arithmetic average of the individual subjectively anticipated discount factors as in the certainty equivalent approach of Weitzman (1998, 2001) ? As a sort of additional risk or uncertainty, can beliefs dispersion lead to lower discount rates ? Is it socially efficient, when diversity of opinion is taken into account, to reduce the discount rate per year for more distant horizons ? More generally, what is then the shape of the yield curve ?
Subjects / Keywords
Heterogeneous Anticipations; Equilibrium models; Beliefs; Risk free rate; Discount rate
JEL
D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
D01 - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
H43 - Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate

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