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hal.structure.identifierDéveloppement, institutions et analyses de long terme [DIAL]
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine [LEDa]
dc.contributor.authorForouheshfar, Yeganeh
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine [LEDa]
dc.contributor.authorEl Mekkaoui-De Freitas, Najat
hal.structure.identifierParis Jourdan Sciences Economiques [PJSE]
dc.contributor.authord’Albis, Hippolyte
HAL ID: 16845
ORCID: 0000-0002-6409-4320
dc.date.accessioned2021-02-05T12:12:26Z
dc.date.available2021-02-05T12:12:26Z
dc.date.issued2020-01
dc.identifier.issn0013-063X
dc.identifier.urihttps://basepub.dauphine.fr/handle/123456789/21569
dc.language.isoenen
dc.subjectIranen
dc.subjectMoroccoen
dc.subjectEgypten
dc.subjectdemographic transitionen
dc.subjectfinancial transitionen
dc.subjectdevelopmenten
dc.subject.ddc338.9en
dc.subject.classificationjelO.O1.O16en
dc.subject.classificationjelO.O1.O15en
dc.subject.classificationjelO.O5.O55en
dc.titleDemographics in MENA Countries: A Major Driver for Economic Growthen
dc.typeArticle accepté pour publication ou publié
dc.description.abstractenMENA region is undergoing rapid demographic transition, where 50% of the population is under the age 25 and high youth unemployment rates are argued to be one of the main sources of political instability. In this paper we evaluate the economic impact of the demographic transition for selected MENA countries, namely: Iran, Morocco and Egypt who experience different speeds of transition. We have developed a general equilibrium overlapping generations model with a cost of capital mobilisation as a proxy for financial markets’ efficiency and simulated the demographic trends in each country. We find that the demographic shift will be an important driver for growth in the upcoming decades. Furthermore, our results show that a more efficient financial sector leads to better economic performance. Specifically, youth are the primary beneficiaries: an increase in the financial sector efficiency can reduce up to 8 percentage points of the the unemployment rate for the youngest age group.en
dc.relation.isversionofjnlnameDe Economist
dc.relation.isversionofjnlvol168en
dc.relation.isversionofjnldate2020-01
dc.relation.isversionofjnlpages183–213en
dc.relation.isversionofdoi10.1007/s10645-020-09357-yen
dc.relation.isversionofjnlpublisherSpringeren
dc.subject.ddclabelCroissance et développement économiquesen
dc.relation.forthcomingnonen
dc.relation.forthcomingprintnonen
dc.description.ssrncandidatenonen
dc.description.halcandidateouien
dc.description.readershiprechercheen
dc.description.audienceInternationalen
dc.relation.Isversionofjnlpeerreviewedouien
dc.relation.Isversionofjnlpeerreviewedouien
dc.date.updated2021-02-05T10:07:15Z
hal.faultCode{"duplicate-entry":{"halshs-02874757":{"doi":"1.0"}}}
hal.author.functionaut
hal.author.functionaut
hal.author.functionaut


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