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A new transmission route for the propagation of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus

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Date
2020
Publishing date
2020
Collection title
Cahier de recherche CEREMADE
Link to item file
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02872801
Dewey
Analyse
Sujet
COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2
DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.14.20022939
URI
https://basepub.dauphine.fr/handle/123456789/21085
Collections
  • CEREMADE : Publications
Metadata
Show full item record
Author
Danchin, Antoine
1004701 Institut Cochin [IC UM3 (UMR 8104 / U1016)]
Ng, Tuen Wai Patrick
1004701 Institut Cochin [IC UM3 (UMR 8104 / U1016)]
Turinici, Gabriel
60 CEntre de REcherches en MAthématiques de la DEcision [CEREMADE]
Type
Document de travail / Working paper
Item number of pages
9
Abstract (EN)
We explore here how variation in the SARS-CoV-2 virus tropism could influence epidemic spread. We use a compartmental model fit to the existing data. The model indicates that Wuhan quarantine measures were effective but that alternative virus forms (gut tropism) and a second propagation route (through environment) was present. For Singapore and Shenzhen region the secondary route does not seem to be active yet. Adequate prevention measures taking into account both routes should be implemented.

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