Defining scenarios of future povert y: a prospective assessment and relevant preventive policies
de Arce, Rafael; Medina, Eva; Pérez-Salazar, Gloria; Visan, Délia (2016), Defining scenarios of future povert y: a prospective assessment and relevant preventive policies, Nopoor Policy Brief, 44, p. 8. https://basepub.dauphine.fr/handle/123456789/18198
Series titleNopoor Policy Brief
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Author(s)de Arce, Rafael
Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana-I [UAM]
Abstract (EN)“Neither tomorrow - nor yesterday - is written. […] The future is a stimulating prospect of adventure and flight - tomorrow is not written. The future therefore has to be shaped since it is not merely a matter of fatality or destiny; it is in the hands of each human being. Our lives, at the personal and social level, are open-ended projects capable of reaching unsuspected heights of beauty and creativity", Federico Mayor Zaragoza.In order to plan strategic policy-oriented measures to reduce poverty, a long-term view should be prioritized. This essentially means the recognition of the many factors that can lead to “surprising futures”, and the different ways they can combine at a fundamental level to define potential future scenarios. This brief adopts a forward-looking analysis of potential new scenarios of poverty, related to emerging social issues. Specifically, the main objective is to answer this question: what are the major trends which may have an effect on poverty reduction to 2030?
Subjects / KeywordsFuture Scenarios; poverty; Sustainable Development Goals
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