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Borrowing in excess of natural ability to repay

Martins-da-Rocha, Victor-Filipe; Vailakis, Yiannis (2017), Borrowing in excess of natural ability to repay, Review of Economic Dynamics, 23, p. 42-59. 10.1016/j.red.2016.09.006

Type
Article accepté pour publication ou publié
External document link
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01249202
Date
2017
Journal name
Review of Economic Dynamics
Volume
23
Publisher
Elsevier
Pages
42-59
Publication identifier
10.1016/j.red.2016.09.006
Metadata
Show full item record
Author(s)
Martins-da-Rocha, Victor-Filipe cc

Vailakis, Yiannis
Abstract (EN)
The paper aims at improving our understanding of self-enforcing debt in competitive dynamic economies with lack of commitment when default induces a permanent loss of access to international credit markets. We show, by means of examples, that a sovereign's creditworthiness is not necessarily limited by the ability to repay out of its future resources. Self-enforcing debt grows at the same rate as interest rates. If a sovereign's endowment growth rates are lower than interest rates, then debt limits eventually exceed the natural debt limits. This implies that there is asymptotic borrowing in present value terms. We show that this can be compatible with lending incentives when credible borrowers facilitate inter-temporal exchange, acting as pass-through intermediaries that alleviate the lenders' credit restrictions
Subjects / Keywords
Lack of commitment; Self-enforcing debt; Natural debt limit
JEL
H63 - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
G13 - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems
D51 - Exchange and Production Economies
D50 - General

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