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Extreme Asymmetric Volatility, Leverage, Feedback and Asset Prices

Wagner, Niklas; Aboura, Sofiane (2010), Extreme Asymmetric Volatility, Leverage, Feedback and Asset Prices, International Risk Management Conference (IRMC 2010) Financial Stability and Value, 2010-06, Florence, Italy

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Aboura_extreme_asymmetric.pdf (1.125Mb)
Type
Communication / Conférence
Date
2010
Conference title
International Risk Management Conference (IRMC 2010) Financial Stability and Value
Conference date
2010-06
Conference city
Florence
Conference country
Italy
Pages
45
Metadata
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Author(s)
Wagner, Niklas
Passau University
Aboura, Sofiane
Dauphine Recherches en Management [DRM]
Abstract (EN)
Asymmetric volatility in equity markets has been widely documented in finance, where two competing explanations, as considered in Bekaert and Wu (2000), are the financial leverage and the volatility feedback hypothesis. We explicitly test for the role of both hypotheses in explaining extreme daily U.S. equity market movements during the period January 1990 to September 2008. To this aim, we examine asymmetric volatility based on a novel model of market returns, conditional market volatility and volatility of volatility. We then test for extreme asymmetry and the distinct predictions of both hypotheses. Our results document significant extreme asymmetric volatility. This effect is contemporaneous, consistent with both hypotheses, and it is important for large market declines. We further point out aggregate asset pricing implications under extreme volatility feedback.
Subjects / Keywords
Market stress; Asymmetric volatility; Leverage effect; Effet de levier; Market volatility; Volatility feedback
JEL
G32 - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
G10 - General
C32 - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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