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Africa: Out of debt, into fiscal space? Dynamic Fiscal Impact of the Debt Relief Initiatives on African Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs)

Cassimon, Danny; Van Campenhout, Bjorn; Ferry, Marin; Raffinot, Marc (2015), Africa: Out of debt, into fiscal space? Dynamic Fiscal Impact of the Debt Relief Initiatives on African Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs), International Economics, 144, p. 29-52. 10.1016/j.inteco.2015.04.007

Type
Article accepté pour publication ou publié
Date
2015
Nom de la revue
International Economics
Volume
144
Éditeur
La Documentation française
Pages
29-52
Identifiant publication
10.1016/j.inteco.2015.04.007
Métadonnées
Afficher la notice complète
Auteur(s)
Cassimon, Danny

Van Campenhout, Bjorn
International Food Policy Research Institute [Washington] [IFPRI]
Ferry, Marin

Raffinot, Marc
Résumé (EN)
After two debt relief initiatives launched in 1996 (the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries, HIPC Initiative) and in 1999 (The enhanced HIPC initiative), the G7 decided to go further by cancelling (most of) the remaining multilateral debt for these HIPC countries through the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI, 2005). Building on earlier literature that tries to assess the fiscal response effects of HIPC debt relief, we extend this assessment by explicitly including the fiscal response effects of MDRI debt relief, and by using an extended dataset and alternative econometric techniques, in order to have sufficient hindsight and better tackle methodological issues such as country specific effects. We confirm earlier findings that debt relief, and especially the enhanced HIPC initiative, has had a positive impact on recipient country total domestic revenue and public investment (as percentage of GDP). Additionally, thanks to our large observation span, we also observe that the MDRI led to a significant increase in current primary expenditures and domestic revenue ratios, although these effects are on average smaller than the HIPC Initiative ones.
Mots-clés
Debt relief; Public investment; Fiscal response; HIPC; MDRI; Fiscal revenue
JEL
H20 - General
H54 - Infrastructures; Other Public Investment and Capital Stock
H63 - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
O55 - Africa
F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems

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